Playoff Probabilities Report

Results are based on 10,000 simulations of the remainder of season, including the play-in round.

See more details about the results. We also use these simulations to project the draft order and lottery winners.

Projected Standings

Projected Standings Table
  Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Eastern Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   7 8 9 10   Win Conf Win Finals
1Chicago Bulls51.430.6.627-0.880.292.8325-1026-2163-1939-4399.5%54.7%40.422.415.110.66.53.01.00.51.20.50.214.3%3.5%
2Cleveland Cavaliers49.832.2.6070.53-0.955.6121-1729-1561-2139-4399.1%33.8%22.023.319.215.610.35.22.41.12.71.00.50.235.0%13.0%
3Miami Heat49.132.9.599-0.640.053.1324-1525-1860-2237-4598.3%94.1%16.420.420.716.912.56.83.01.63.71.60.60.315.5%3.9%
4Brooklyn Nets48.933.1.596-0.880.362.0924-1225-2161-2135-4797.6%76.5%13.018.620.218.114.08.43.22.14.31.91.00.410.2%2.0%
5Milwaukee Bucks47.534.5.579-1.581.132.4725-1522-2060-2236-4694.3%11.5%6.310.414.418.719.213.47.64.48.54.62.61.110.3%2.4%
6Philadelphia 76ers44.637.4.544-0.260.020.6921-1624-2157-2532-5077.5%12.6%1.22.74.98.413.519.716.211.018.113.18.84.83.8%0.7%
7Toronto Raptors43.538.5.5310.55-0.291.6318-1726-2157-2531-5169.3%7.6%0.51.43.26.010.916.016.814.617.814.911.88.74.7%0.9%
8Boston Celtics41.840.2.5100.43-0.701.3818-2124-1954-2831-5151.7%3.0%0.10.41.22.65.59.815.616.514.215.916.213.23.4%0.7%
9Charlotte Hornets41.140.9.5010.17-0.11-0.8820-1921-2252-3029-5339.4%2.9%0.30.61.53.17.212.214.510.815.317.317.31.0%0.1%
10Washington Wizards40.241.8.4900.61-0.60-1.6019-1921-2352-3029-5328.6%1.5%0.10.30.82.24.78.911.57.913.015.117.70.4%
11Atlanta Hawks39.742.3.484-0.070.050.0417-2023-2251-3127-5526.7%1.6%0.10.30.81.63.98.012.06.810.513.316.41.0%0.1%
12New York Knicks38.243.8.466-0.710.72-1.3619-2019-2452-3025-5714.0%0.3%0.10.71.64.27.43.36.49.814.10.2%
13Indiana Pacers35.646.4.4340.24-0.26-0.0214-2522-2147-3524-583.8%0.10.20.92.70.61.42.95.80.1%
14Orlando Magic19.762.3.2400.66-0.09-8.887-3213-3032-509-73
15Detroit Pistons18.563.5.2250.150.66-9.917-3011-3430-529-73

Table
  Seed Pre Play-In  
Rk Western Conference W L W/L% SOS rSOS SRS Current Remain Best Worst Playoffs Division 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8   7 8 9 10   Win Conf Win Finals
1Golden State Warriors59.622.4.726-0.200.068.5429-931-1369-1349-33100.0%53.6%39.132.526.02.432.4%24.8%
2Phoenix Suns59.722.3.728-0.52-0.217.3830-830-1470-1247-35100.0%46.4%33.832.731.22.323.2%16.3%
3Utah Jazz58.923.1.718-0.74-0.089.0528-1031-1369-1347-35100.0%100.0%26.933.536.13.534.9%27.1%
4Memphis Grizzlies51.130.9.623-0.08-0.263.7726-1425-1762-2040-42100.0%93.1%0.21.36.783.27.41.10.10.10.20.16.5%3.4%
5Dallas Mavericks44.337.7.5400.19-0.251.7720-1824-2056-2630-5294.5%6.8%0.16.350.922.99.64.811.05.32.40.91.4%0.6%
6Denver Nuggets42.439.6.5170.81-0.510.4018-1824-2254-2831-5183.8%1.521.931.816.711.920.312.17.33.60.4%0.2%
7Minnesota Timberwolves40.141.9.4890.43-0.140.1118-2022-2252-3029-5365.5%0.58.516.621.618.221.320.316.210.40.4%0.2%
8Los Angeles Clippers39.542.5.4820.180.17-0.4319-2021-2252-3029-5357.5%0.25.813.519.918.220.220.617.813.20.3%0.1%
9Los Angeles Lakers38.543.5.470-0.890.95-1.6320-1919-2449-3328-5443.4%0.13.47.614.717.613.519.221.320.00.1%
10San Antonio Spurs37.944.1.462-0.200.170.3415-2223-2250-3226-5641.5%0.1%0.11.95.913.919.810.916.521.322.80.3%0.1%
11Portland Trail Blazers33.948.1.4131.38-0.79-2.8614-2320-2547-3521-617.0%0.10.42.04.51.53.36.212.9
12Sacramento Kings33.348.7.4070.80-0.30-3.5316-2417-2548-3422-605.9%0.31.44.11.12.36.312.3
13New Orleans Pelicans30.851.2.3760.630.07-4.4014-2517-2642-4021-611.1%0.20.80.10.51.33.6
14Oklahoma City Thunder26.955.1.3280.040.59-7.2013-2414-3139-4316-660.10.3
15Houston Rockets23.358.7.284-0.210.91-8.2411-2812-3134-4814-68